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Monday, September 24, 2007

Revolution in the Third Age


I read this article recently, bringing me a little up to speed on the tone and mood in Zimbabwe right now which concerns me mainly because my beautiful ex-pat Zimbabwean friend is visiting her family there right now. Despite the non-occurrence of significant events, and negativity of the situation in general, the author ends on a hopeful note:

"I remembered Arthur Hugh Clough's "Say not the struggle naught availeth:

"For while the tired waves, vainly breaking, Seem here no painful inch to gain, Far back, through creeks and inlets making, Comes silent, flooding in, the main."

Despite all the fear and depression in Zimbabwe today, I sense that the tide of popular opinion is silently flooding in and that this dreadful regime will find itself overwhelmed from within.

David Coltart is the shadow minister of justice in Zimbabwe's Parliament and a member of the Movement for Democratic Change. He has been a human rights lawyer there since 1983."

Personally, I'm looking at this from the perspective of socio-political theory, since I have never been to Zim and have no on-the-ground experience of the place. From that perspective my thoughts are largely in line with this article, in that we are talking about a second order implied dictatorship. History has shown this kind of establishment is doomed to instability and thereafter some failure state, often brought about through the will of the people. The people probably must be their own saviours here, as few outside influences or economic factors seem to apply. Perhaps Brown’s recent position offers some hope of an guardian angel. Still, I would prefer to place my faith with the Zimbabweans.

Indeed, during the recent economic trouble, I have been told that the ordinances of the government amounted to little more than a comparison baseline for the price-fixers of the black market, where the bulk of trading was done. Reports of food and supply shortages were, I was informed, greatly exaggerated. Walk into a local grocery store, and the shelves were bare, white, cleaned out. Be a pretty local girl though, and have the shopboys offer you whatever you need. Connections, not power, was what counted. The people will have their way - the main surges in.

My motive for opening with Zimbabwe was not really to bring that issue to the table. I want it instead to serve to provoke thought on this – if it were necessary, what strategy would you use to effect some change of regime in our own society? The issue that Zimbabwe raises for me is, what constitutes 'the main' in the third order society of the west? Is it any longer possible to say what the tide of social change represents, never mind where it is flowing?
What would one be fighting for if the moral foundation on which one justified one's struggle was in fact the rhetoric of another age, another system long obsolete, and co-opted by the ideas and social structures whose birth-pangs killed what one thinks of as one's civilisation?
There is supposedly a clear exposition of this uncertainty, loss of bearings, in John Berger's new book Hold Everything Dear. I've only managed to read the review, but it suggested to me a good place to get a synopsis of the base, the material outcomes of the acting in this our third order society. However, one needs to go further to hypothesise about the motivations of society's actors, including ourselves - the individual and his/her collusive death-denial*. While one can't deny the feeling that we have moved beyond the enlightened despotism of the Leviathan - the necessary tyranny of government-controlled labour market societies - what can one say for certain about the norms that bind us now?
To understand one's role in society as a producer of worth in a labour market is to ascribe oneself a proactive role in a collusive market economy, which role seems for the most part to be a great illusion. I have maintained that such an illusion is foisted upon the citizenry of the systems of economic and political governance, by those actual systems. This is a claim unsupported by evidence and highly opinionated (somewhat supported by opinion here), but at the core is the idea, I will even say the fact, that society by definition is the very anti-thesis of personal freedom. We must constrain and restrict ourselves in order to live with other people (and of course, at heart this is a good thing). In the modern world, as the definitions of our societies become ever more blurred, should we not ask ‘wherefore do the constraints and restrictions that affect us spring’? What is their source, their process and their goal? Can we ever know, from our lowly individual perspectives?

Aside : : I won’t deny it is possible for a small number to control their own destiny, but for the most part the great societal forces that shape our lives seem so immutable – for example, so many demonstrate against globalisation, but change nothing. Why is this? And what effect does it have on our actions?

By control of destiny, I don’t mean those starred subjects of history and celebrity. Ben Cousins (go here and scroll down to the fourth article "Myths of Process and a Nonlinear View of History") illustrates rather nicely how this is a misapprehension of the nature of the achievements of these kinds of titans of history of modern society. What I mean rather is simply people who maximise a natural potential, irrespective of societal influences rather than because of them.

To get back on track, where do the forces that move our everyday lives originate, and how do they grow to have such irrefutable power? I think this quote (even though it was really addressing another topic) gives a clue “We’ve implemented these systems in the first place, [because] we’re trying to ensure we can experience desirable human contact while minimizing harmful contact.”
We built the systems ourselves. Of course we did, they’re not spontaneously arising entities (unless you’re a Creationist). I suggest that even though we created them, these systems are now well beyond our control.

ManBitesBlog points out, “human beings have this tendency to strongly identify each other based upon our affiliations–our tribal affiliations... But when the tribe is thousands, millions, of people large and those individuals that make up the tribe are scattered across the globe, each one a member of a culture with different traditions, different needs, different available resources, is it still appropriate to consider the larger system a composite of the will of the individuals within the system? Or to ascribe the properties and traits of the system to an individual whose efforts sustain it?”

The problem in our third order society seems to me to be then, that all the goals of all the individuals who might side with some idea or another, some formal social way of life, will be drivers of social change in directions that are neither mappable nor static. So everyone who is not living purely for themselves, every PTA member, green activist, right-wing separatist etc. is pushing toward something that nobody can identify. To see how this unguided activity can be dangerous, one need look no further than the common practice of science, which as ‘everyone knows’, very often drives towards a utility that is not forseen by the scientists, and not understood by the other stakeholders. Or, as ManBitesBlog again says so succinctly “If every single person lending their passion, drive and labor to the system is steering it towards goals which are to the benefit of the culture, then there probably wouldn’t be as much of an issue.”

But they don’t do that, do they? Individuals identify their energy and output with the system they do it within. To justify this, they can go so far as to claim “Greed is good”. Or, they may simply not forsee the ends to which their means allow - a striking example of this is the Iranian pro-democracy revolution which ended with the absolutism of the Ayatollah. I found it nicely summarised here.

In such a situation as we find ourselves today, it may be the best we can hope for is that conflicting drives in the general impetus, and possibly also apathy, lead to a zero sum game - but that would be a remote hope. The only constant is change.


* If it seems like I’m getting jargon-y in this piece, it is probably the influence of Baudrillard. Reviewing what I’m reading is beyond the scope of what I’m writing though, so I’ll just say it’s worth picking up but is quite a brain-fuck.

The opening image is the Great Zimbabwe, the largest and oldest stone structure in Africa south of the Sahara, after which the country is named.

8 comments:

Patrick said...

I think something like what is happening to Zimbabwe may happen in the US over the next few years, though of a different scale and tenor of course.

It can't be a zero sum game, and this is precisely what is so terrifying and also exhilirating. If you read this post you may find that conmanship, or suggestion to the subconscious if you prefer a more connotatively nuetral term, is happening in society as a mass scale, and that this is the nature of social mechanisms to the effect of designed dynamics. Of course, the dynamics always produce undecideable propositions, and this is where change comes from. Its also accelerating, due to the positive feedback loop inherent in that cycle.

Unknown said...

Do you really think the US populace can move faster than the 'suggestion to the subconscious' social mechanisms that are so expertly controlled?
That would be immensely exciting if it happened, especially if I got the chance to visit (but didn't have to live there :D ).
It is the original revolutionary nation!

Unknown said...

ps. Thanks for the link, more bandwidth on that subject is always welcome. Ramachandran's book Phantoms in the Brain is a good solid primer.

Chris said...

I too have a friend from Zimbabwe; she currently lives in London. Small world.

You mention the Globalisation protests; one of the problems with this is that the Globalisation campaign is vague as to what it wants and expects. It is difficult to effect change when one is against something - this tends to lead to problems. Instead, we have to work out what we are fighting *for* - and on the whole I'm not entirely convinced that the Globalisation protestors know or agree quite what they are in support of. They seem angry - but they don't seem to have resolved a viable plan of action.

It is easy to panic when it seems that we are unable to marshal our social and political forces, but I still believe the situation is not as bad as it seems. The problem, as ever, is a confusion of ends, exacerbated by the fact that change happens on a time scale that is far from immediate. Yet it happens, as any study of history will reveal.

The most positive sign of progress in the twentieth century was the rise of non-violent resistance. I believe we have even more to gain from this than we have already done so - but it takes a push to greater awareness.

You are looking ahead of me, in many ways... I'm working towards politics, but I still have to complete ethics before I can get there. The point of the Ethics Campaign is to explore individual values, and how we can deal with the clash of those values; this is fundamental to where I imagine I am heading in terms of politics, although since I am still en route it is hard to know for sure.

I've run out of time, alas. Let me leave you with this thought:

If we could develop a framework that could sidestep or neutralise partisanism, and installed such a framework in a "web 2.0" style community, could we not find the means and the manpower to implement change? At the very least, we could identify those issues about which there is strong agreement - the pressure points where it might be possible to effect change. At the very least, we might claim back the political sphere in its original meaning - and move beyond the idea that politics is solely about one's vote.

Enjoyable piece - thanks!

Best wishes!

nomad said...

Bringing upon real change is often a long process unless the seeds already have been laid. At least one generation makes severe sacrifices before the next starts to reap the fruits. Maybe that is why the problems have to be grave as well as immediate before most take action?
I'm assuming you're also following the evens in Myanmar (which certainly are more prominent in the current news):
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/world/asia-pacific/7013638.stm
The claim is that the events in 88 would work as a catalyst, that and the media attention - but even so I doubt anyone is overly optimistic.

And scanning through the comments - Kris - I could not agree with you more the problem never was globalization per se. It is just simply easier to mobilize people against something than work out solutions. Though I can't say much positive about e.g. US attempts to make Iraq a long term tax free business haven (the small booklet No War by Naomi Klein and others is a bit thin but does not completely lack insights).

Unknown said...

"the Globalisation campaign is vague as to what it wants and expects"

Which I see as just another symptom of the difficulty we have today in knowing where we're going or coming from. Because orientation is relative, if you're for one thing, you'll naturally be likely to be against something else. So the anti-globalisation people started by being against something. They shouldn't find it so difficult to know what they are for - except that they cannot fully understand what they are against*.

These systems of global capital, power and the diplomacy that binds them are emergent of the rules that define them. One can research and understand the rules, but the emergent systems are of an order of complexity higher.
It's all very well to say that one should look for solutions and not just decry problems, but nobody really designed the way the world works, and the search for solutions therefore addresses problems that (I think) nobody really understands.

*Their other problem, in my view, is simply accepting the consequences of what they stand for - their lives, comforts and backgrounds are defined by the very thing they stand against.

nomad said...

For quite some time I have found myself drifting away from caring about what someone is for or against, and from the type of idealistic zealousness I was afflicted by in my teens (for all the wrong reasons ;) and towards what they wish to implement, which obstacles they see in the way, what they are willing to sacrifice, and perhaps most importantly what they consider constitutes a forgivable trade-off (or more crudely, which means they believe justify the ends).
And maybe it is as you say, the difficulty is that the systems and subsequent problems are emergent. The whole EU debate (to join or not to join, but also the monetary question) in Sweden was fascinating (and continues to be, just about different things) - no one knew what to expect and some people just didn't want to open floodgates before they knew what was going to come in and how to control it.
The harder I look at things the more I believe there is no easy decision in politics, there is a reason politicians age quickly. And I do believe that looking for scrap goats is a way of avoiding genuine responsibility.
As for what to do with my own sense of responsibility I don't know yet. And I do wonder how much of my own comforts I would be willing to give up, and even more so what I would consider a fair trade (no pun intended)...

Unknown said...

"I have found myself drifting away from caring about what someone is for or against...towards what they wish to implement, which obstacles they see in the way, what they are willing to sacrifice, and...which means they believe justify the ends"

Hear hear!
That said, I must admit to having little dedication to implementing what I believe should be implemented. Not in the term that would encompass the things I'm talking about. I'd commit to longer-term improvements, but there's a stage at which the goals of good intentions become so fuzzy they lose validity. I'm well beyond that :D

So what worth are my ideas? Well, if I keep sprouting them, maybe at some point I'll convince myself to do something. Other than that, not much!